All organizations generate a lot of data. The challenge is knowing what to do with it—and what it can do for you. From gathering to reporting, this quick primer will help you get started transforming raw data into insights that will help your nonprofit be more strategic.Nonprofit data fits into four general categories:Financial and internal operations data: Think basic metrics like cash on hand, expenses, volunteer hours, and staff training. These are crucial for budgeting and making program decisions.Marketing, communications, and fundraising data: Also called “outreach” data—how many people signed up for your newsletter, or the number of new donors from your latest campaign.Program data: Arguably the most crucial for articulating the effectiveness of your mission, this includes things like the number of clients your organization served and the outcomes of that service.External data: Just like it sounds, external data comes from sources other than your organization, like the Census Bureau or private research firms.Lots of options, right? And you probably have limited resources. Here’s how to narrow down which data you collect so you can get the most bang for your buck.Focus on data that helps you answer important questions.Before you begin gathering numbers, decide what you want to know. Be specific. Instead of a broad-ranging question—“Is Facebook really working for us?”—ask one that requires specific answers: “What tangible results are we getting from Facebook?” The data could be engagements per post type, new likes over time, or donations resulting from specific types of status updates. Your analysis might show, for instance, that you aren’t getting much from Facebook, but you might also learn that your organization isn’t putting much into it.Beware of “it would be interesting to know…”If you don’t have a plan to use a certain type of data, it might not be worth going down lots of little rabbit holes. It’s easy to get carried away with gathering lots of data out of free-ranging curiosity. Focus on answering those specific, measurable questions we just talked about.Now that you’ve clarified your questions, it’s time to collect the data to answer them. These tips will get you started.Get buy-in from your team.You’ll probably depend on other people to help collect data. The key is helping them understand how it will benefit them—and that it won’t just be extra work. Here’s a great example of how data analysis helps your team target its efforts where they’re effective and skip where they aren’t.How many people is your team meeting at outreach events?Of those, how many are signing up for your newsletter?Of that second group, how many are further engaging in some form, like volunteering or donating?The events generating the most people in Question 3 are the ones your team should focus on. They can skip events with the lowest numbers.Appoint a data czar.Find the person who likes to run numbers and is good at Excel. The data might live in lots of places and be viewed by lots of people, but that one person collects it and helps explain it to the rest of the team.Start small, but with big impact.If your nonprofit is shifting to being more data informed, address resistance by looking at specific key questions your group is facing and finding data to answer them.Let’s say you want to increase fundraising from individual donors but don’t know who is the most effective target. Break down one year of donor records by how they originally made contact with your organization: Maybe some participated in programs (we’ll call them “alumni”), others signed up for your e-newsletter, and others are on your board. Your data shows that alumni are giving much higher average gifts—almost double—but fewer are actually giving. You make a small shift in communications and ask alumni to give using language that reflects their relationship with you. This results in more alumni making donations because now they feel engaged and part of the community.A really simple piece of data analysis can have a big impact.Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.In some ways, you’ll never know the full impact of your programs, but you can know how you’re doing along the way. Six months after a training, for example, call people and ask what they learned and if they made any changes because of it. You might not be able to call everyone, but you (or an intern) could call 20% or 60% of them. You can look at just a few pieces of data that will move you toward a better understanding of your impact.Record your method for Future You.When you go back to collect and report on the same type of data months or even years later, odds are you won’t remember how you did it. Write down your method in simple language so you—or someone else—can replicate it later and generate data that you feel confident comparing over time. Adapted from Network for Good’s Nonprofit 911 webinar “Data Management Strategies to Maximize Your Success” with Heather Yandow from Third Space Studio. Download the complete webinar here.
ShareEmailPrint To learn more, read: Posted on May 25, 2012June 21, 2017Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)A new study published in the New England Journal of Medicine on Thursday, May 24th, found that the effectiveness of long-acting reversible contraception is superior to that of contraceptive pills, patch, or ring. This is important news for the global health community–especially in light of Melinda Gates’ recent announcement of her decision to make family planning her signature issue and primary public health priority.From the Time Magazine article about the study:The study involved 7,486 women participating in the Contraceptive Choice Project, run by researchers at Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis. The women, aged 14 to 45, were given their choice of contraception for free and then tracked for up to three years for unintended pregnancy. The results, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, found that longer-lasting contraceptives were up to 20 times more effective — that is, women using IUDs, implants or hormone injections were up to 20 times less likely to get pregnant — after three years than the shorter-acting methods of birth control.Read the study here.A number of news organizations have written about the study:Time Magazine, Which Birth Control Works Best? (Hint: It’s Not the Pill).The Wall Street Journal, Long-Lasting Birth Control Cuts Pregnancy RateABC News, Birth Control: New Research Gives Boost to IUD EffectivenessShare this:
Posted on September 11, 2012August 15, 2016Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)A message from our friends at Women Deliver and Catapult, a new crowdfunding platform that supports projects advancing the lives of girls and women around the world:As the Catalyzing Partners, Women Deliver and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation have invested in the development and implementation of this platform in order to drive investments from people to projects that advance the lives of girls and women globally.For an introduction to Catapult, please watch our 2-minute video at http://www.catapult.org.The Platform operates through donors browsing different projects by location, topic or need and donating individually or creating donor teams to fund those projects that interest and inspire them. Once a project is fully funded, donors can access detailed information on how their funding has been used to change lives. At the same time, through Catapult’s “Curator” feature, champions for girls and women can promote projects in their specific areas of focus thus fueling a funding powerhouse for girls and women. Catapult never takes a fee from partners – it’s free!As you probably know, online crowdfunding is transforming how people give. As of 2011, charitable giving through crowdfunding platforms exceeded 676M and grew at an average rate of 43%. Women Deliver’s goal for Catapult is to establish and maintain sustained, long term funding infrastructure capable of scaling many thousands of projects and delivering millions of dollars in funds to benefit girls and women over the next decade.By listening to women’s funds and organizations, and providing a platform for their projects, Catapult will strengthen the efforts of individuals and organizations working for gender equality. The platform provides an open, direct channel between projects in need of funds and a new generation of citizen donors, leveraging existing networks to fund, sustain and bring work to a global audience.If you are interested in learning more about Catapult, please contact email@example.com.Catapult is also looking to engage girls and young women as advocates of crowdfunding for girls and women, and would welcome your nominations of girls and young women whom they believe would be great at communicating this message.For more information on the Catupult project, click here!Share this: ShareEmailPrint To learn more, read:
ShareEmailPrint To learn more, read: Posted on October 11, 2012August 15, 2016Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)The Maternal Health Task Force is delighted to announce that the application process for the second cohort of Young Champions of Maternal Health is now open! Applications are currently being accepted from candidates from Ethiopia, India, and Nigeria.To reduce maternal mortality and morbidity over the long-term, emerging public health leaders need to be equipped with the skills, commitment, and vision to respond fully to multiple causes and consequences of maternal mortality and morbidity.The Maternal Health Young Champions Program, a partnership between The Institute of International Education and the Maternal Health Task Force at Harvard School of Public Health, offers a unique fellowship to 10 young people who are passionate about improving maternal health in their home country.These Young Champions of Maternal Health will be students or young graduates in public health or a related field who are committed to improving maternal mortality and morbidity through either research or innovative field work in their home country. They will be matched with in-country mentors from selected organizations for a nine-month research or field project internship focusing on a particular area of maternal health.The fellowship includes leadership training and participation in the Global Maternal Health Conference 2013 in Arusha, Tanzania.Click here for eligibility criteria and to access the application.Applications are due November 10, 2012.For more information about the Young Champions of Maternal Health program, including blog posts from the first cohort, click here.Share this:
For 61 years, Better Health (a Network for Good customer since 2017) has addressed the unmet healthcare needs of Cumberland County’s low-income residents through education, referral, and assistance. Since 2015, Executive Director and CEO Amy Navejas has managed a small team of ten staff. Though they are small, they are mighty—that small staff touched over 7,000 people in 2017.Caring for a communityOriginally, Better Health filled emergency medications for individuals in need. Over time they evolved to meet the needs of the community; aiding with things that strain a low-income person’s financial reserves, such as emergency dental extractions, eyeglasses, and travel to the larger North Carolina hospitals.“We don’t want anybody to have to choose between food and rent and a critical medical need.”In the 1970s, Better Health launched an education-based diabetes program to help clients manage their disease along with their doctor. Through the program, a patient can get their blood sugar and blood pressure checked; take classes; and even borrow wheelchairs, walkers, and other medical supplies from Better Health’s 1,000+ donated items.Dedicated to patients of all ages, Better Health also helps families with children who are significantly obese create a wellness program. The entire family attends the program together. By providing a safe outlet where children can become physically fit and adopt more healthy lifestyle habits, the entire family learns better health and fitness.“I wear many, many hats.”On any given day, you’ll find Navejas writing or reporting on a grant, reviewing program updates from staff, managing the organization’s financials, and of course lots of meetings—board meetings, committee meetings, fundraising meetings, community meetings.But she hadn’t always planned on becoming a nonprofit CEO. A law school graduate, Navejas switched careers after the birth of her first child.“To be a great attorney you have to bring home boxes and boxes of files every night and pour over them to prepare for court. I watched my firm’s senior partners arrive before all the other staff and leave well after dark. I wouldn’t want to do that any other way in order to be completely prepared for clients. After my daughter was born, I realized that schedule wasn’t conducive to the kind of family life that I wanted to have.”From a young age, Navejas’ parents and grandparents instilled in her a passion for helping others. She followed that passion to Carolina Collaborative Community Care, and when the opportunity at Better Health came up, she jumped on it.“I love it here. There are always challenges and I love working through hurdles, making progress, and finding creative solutions. Sometimes a client walks through our doors, deeply in need, and they don’t expect us to be able to help because everyone else they’ve gone to has said no. We try to find a way to say yes, not a reason to say no. The relief I see on their face when I tell them they’ll be taken care of is all the motivation I need.”Passion for the missionWhen it comes to leading a nonprofit, Navejas relies on her small but mighty staff. The single most critical factor she looks for in a team member is someone who has that passion and that connection with the mission.“It’s all about finding the right people. If someone has the passion and the work ethic, they can be trained and do well. Being such a small organization, that makes a big difference. Our staff has made a huge impact. Better Health excels at what we do because our staff is so dedicated.”Women in Philanthropy is an ongoing blog series in celebration of Women’s History Month, featuring some of the incredible women Network for Good has the pleasure to work with.Read more on The Nonprofit Blog
Posted on October 22, 2015October 13, 2016By: Sandeep Bathala, Senior Program Associate, Maternal Health Initiative, Wilson CenterClick to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)Maternal mortality causes 56,000 deaths every year in India, accounting for 20 percent of maternal deaths around the world. Women who are born into the lower castes or are tribals – India’s indigenous groups – are especially likely to lack access to quality health care. Over 40 percent of these women also belong to the lowest wealth quintile.An investigation of 29 birth-related deaths in one hospital in the Barwani district of Madhya Pradesh revealed that 26 of the women were tribals, explained Poonam Muttreja, executive director of the Population Foundation of India, at a Wilson Center event.Abhishek Kumar of the India Health Action Trust and International Institute for Population Sciences said that scheduled tribes and castes make up 25 percent of India’s population and disparities within such a large social group should be expected. However, progress on improving antenatal care and medical assistance at delivery has been slowest for lower caste and tribal women, especially those living in the northern, central, and eastern regions of the country.Only the richest of the rich scheduled castes/tribes are benefiting from caste-based government programs, economic development, and expanding maternal and reproductive health care services, said Kumar. He suggested further investigation is needed into individual factors such as economic and educational status to determine why the most egregious disparities continue.More research is required to understand factors associated with the lack of access to health services between and among social groups in what will soon be the world’s most populous country.I have heard successful stories of scaling up quality and equitable maternal and newborn health programs across the world over the past few days. 1,000 of us from over 75 countries are poised to apply the lessons we learned to catalyze commitment and accelerate maternal and newborn health within the post-2015 development framework.I hope to learn more about how to reach the most vulnerable women and newborns before the next Global Maternal Newborn Health Conference. Effective approaches to improve equitable care must continue to be given priority. To hear about programs described at the conference that have increased adolescent’s access to quality care that is affordable and accessible; addressed supply side issues; provided incentives for providers and users; partnered with the private sector; or entailed innovative community-based solutions, check out Crowd 360 digital hub. This week has been so enlightening.Sandeep Bathala is reporting from 2015 Global Maternal and Newborn Health Conference in Mexico City for the Wilson Center, Maternal Health Task Force, and UN Population Fund.Photo: “Mother and child” ©2007 Mike Reys, used under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike license.Share this: ShareEmailPrint To learn more, read:
ShareEmailPrint To learn more, read: Posted on June 29, 2017December 20, 2017By: Samia Khatun, Project Manager, Global Safe Motherhood Projects, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for a reduction in global maternal mortality to fewer than 70 deaths per 100,000 live births by 2030. Achieving this target will require specific attention to postpartum hemorrhage (PPH), which is estimated to cause more than a quarter of maternal deaths worldwide. The burden of PPH is even higher in certain regions: In Eastern Asia and Northern Africa, more than 35% of maternal deaths are attributable to hemorrhage.A relatively basic set of interventions can dramatically reduce the rates of PPH, including skilled care before, during and after childbirth, active management of the third stage of labor (AMTSL) and, in many cases, administration of uterotonics. The preferred uterotonic of choice is oxytocin, which is delivered to the mother by intravenous injection immediately following delivery. Where oxytocin is not available, storage conditions are inadequate or health workers are not trained to administer it safely, misoprostol is currently the best alternative. Unlike oxytocin, misoprostol tablets do not need to be refrigerated or administered with a syringe, which can make it a more viable option in low-resource settings.In 2012, the International Federation of Obstetrics and Gynecology (FIGO) produced guidelines for the prevention and treatment of PPH with misoprostol along with a chart detailing recommended dosages of misoprostol when used alone for a variety of gynecologic and obstetric indications. In June 2017, FIGO released an updated chart informed by recent scientific evidence and developed through consultation with maternal health experts.The chart, divided into stages of pregnancy, outlines recommendations for dosages and routes of administration for misoprostol use for several indications including medically induced abortion, clinical management of miscarriage, cervical preparation for surgical abortion, fetal death, induction of labor and management of PPH. The chart has been endorsed by the FIGO Prevention of Unsafe Abortion Working Group and the FIGO Safe Motherhood and Newborn Health Committee.Some of the changes to this updated version include the addition of alternative routes for misoprostol administration and the introduction of secondary prevention of PPH. A group of experts agreed that secondary prevention of PPH is a strong, alternative approach to universal prophylaxis because it involves medicating far fewer women (only 5-10%), thus risking fewer adverse effects and substantially reducing costs.While the development of the dosage chart and its dissemination are critical steps in reducing the global burden of PPH, further work is needed to ensure that misoprostol is included in national essential medicine lists, high quality misoprostol is available—particularly in low-resource settings—and that health workers are trained to administer it safely.For more information, please contact Samia Khatun.—Download different versions of the new FIGO misoprostol charts in English, Spanish, French and Portuguese.Learn more about the updated FIGO guidelines.Read about barriers to misoprostol use in developing countries.Access resources related to the maternal mortality targets under the SDGs.Share this:
Udaipur: South Korean auto major Hyundai plans to start rolling out upgraded BS6 compliant models, including diesel trims, on a regular basis by early next year, a top company official said. The company, which is present in the country through a wholly-owned subsidiary, also plans to simultaneously keep selling BS4 vehicles till end of March next year in order to offer lower priced units to prospective customers. “I estimate that by the end of this year or early next year, the introduction of BS6 vehicles will happen,” Hyundai Motor India MD and CEO SS Kim said in an interview. Also Read – Thermal coal import may surpass 200 MT this fiscalIn terms of technology, the company is ready with most of the work from research and development perspective, he added. Kim, however, clarified that the ramp up of BS6 models is going to happen in a gradual manner. Hyundai currently has just one product, the recently launched Grand i10 Nios, that is BS6 compliant. The model’s petrol trim is BS6 compliant while the diesel variants are still conform to BS4 regulations. In comparison, Maruti Suzuki has seven petrol models that are now BS6 emission norms compliant. Also Read – Food grain output seen at 140.57 mt in current fiscal on monsoon boostWhen asked if the company’s entire current product portfolio would see an upgrade to BS6 levels, Kim said, “As per our plan, all products, including diesel variants, will be upgraded to BS6 level.” He said the company will continue the production and sales of BS4 vehicles until the end of next year. “With BS6, the prices of cars is expected to go up so if the customer wants to buy some economical product, it is our responsibility to provide and supply that,” he added.
Fire Fighters are working to extinguish a fire in Shady Acres Trailer Park – John Luke Keiper CHARLIE LAKE, B.C. – The Charlie Lake Fire and Fort St. John Fire Department are responding to a house fire in the Shady Acres Trailer Park.The fire was reported by eyewitnesses to have started at around 5 p.m. Five fire trucks from the Charlie Lake Fire Department and Fort St. John are on scene fighting the fire.We understand the fire has only affected only one home in the trailer park. Residents are asked to stay away from the area to allow emergency crews the room they need to fight the fire.As we get more information we will update this story. Fire Fighters from Charlie Lake and Fort St. John are fighting the fire in Shady Acres Trailer Park. Fire Fighters from Charlie Lake and Fort St. John are fighting the fire in Shady Acres Trailer Park. 1 of 3
CALGARY, A.B. – Imperial Oil Ltd. raised its dividend nearly 16 percent as it reported that its first-quarter profit fell compared with a year ago.The Calgary-based energy company says it will now pay a quarterly dividend of 22 cents per share, up from 19 cents.The increased payment to shareholders came as Imperial reported a profit of $293 million or 38 cents per diluted share for its first quarter. That compared with a profit of $516 million or 62 cents per share in the same quarter last year.Rich Kruger, Imperial’s chairman and chief executive, says Alberta’s mandatory production curtailment order significantly affected the company’s financial performance.Kruger says improved upstream realizations were more than offset by reduced downstream margins.
New Delhi: Delhi Chief Minister and AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal on Tuesday said that BJP’s politicization of the “surgical strikes” on terror camps in Pakistan will not help it in the Lok Sabha election in Delhi. “Whatever happened after the Pulwama attack on India-Pakistan border and the way BJP’s conduct was, which politicized it, it is causing damage to the BJP. There’s a notion that it is helping it but it is not, at least not in Delhi,” he told reporters here. Also Read – Bangla Sahib Gurudwara bans use of all types of plastic items Kejriwal said people were now largely divided between “Modi-bhakts” and those who don’t back Prime Minister Narendra Modi and that the Aam Aadmi Party “will do whatever is in its power to defeat Modi”. Kejriwal also said that many people had told him that they were apprehensive of a Pulwama-like attack just before the Lok Sabha polls. “I am only saying what people told us… They told us that they were apprehensive for the last two years that they (BJP) will either foment a conflict over Ram Mandir or between India and Pakistan,” he said. A suicide bomber killed 40 CRPF troopers in Pulwama in the Kashmir Valley on February 14, leading the Indian Air Force to bomb the biggest training camp of the Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) in Pakistan.
CAIRO– Ambulances and fire engines could be seen barreling toward the campus, while firefighters readied water hoses inside the university in an effort to extinguish tires set on fire earlier by student protesters.Egyptian police on Monday used teargas to disperse protests staged by hundreds of Al-Azhar University students who support ousted president Mohamed Morsi as the latter tried to get out of the university’s campus in eastern Cairo.At least 37 students suffered gas inhalation as plumes of teargas could be seen billowing from the university’s main entrance after scores of anti-riot police blocked the university gate to prevent student protesters from pouring out, eyewitnesses said. Ambulances and fire engines could be seen barreling toward the campus, while firefighters readied water hoses inside the university in an effort to extinguish tires set on fire earlier by student protesters.Some students accused police of firing shotguns loaded with birdshot to disperse them, asserting that several students had been injured in the melee.Anadolu Agency, however, could not immediately verify the claims.The clashes came a day after police besieged Al-Azhar University’s student dormitory to prevent dormitory students from joining protests on campus.Students had pelted police with stones from inside the dormitory while police had responded by firing teargas.Since its new academic year began in October, Al-Azhar University has been at the epicenter of student protests against Morsi’s July 3 ouster by the military.
Photo by zimbio.comCam Newton, the former Heisman Trophy winner, said he conversed with enigmatic Johnny Manziel “a few times” this summer. Apparently, whatever Newton had to offer did not stick, as the news gets worse each day for “Johnny Football.”The latest is that a Las Vegas broker said he paid Manziel $7,500 to sign helmets, a blatant violation of NCAA rules that could render the rising sophomore ineligible for the upcoming season. Not good.Newton survived an NCAA investigation into pay-for-play allegations. He was not found to have committed any wrongdoing and was not suspended from any games.Manziel “has to go through these types of situations to know how to handle them in the future,” Newton said. “When somebody comes up to you and asks for your autograph, you don’t know if they’re going to do it for good or bad” purposes.“For any college athlete you are vulnerable to so many things,” Newton said. “You think everybody loves you for who you are.“When I was there at college, so many people wanted from me and I wanted to give so much,” he added. “Like I would sign this and give my time and this, this and that. And nobody was looking at it through my [eyes]. If you say no to this particular person, you are going to be a [jerk]. You are going to be the person that people look at as, ‘What’s up? We came out here and supported you and cheered for you and you can’t sign an autograph?’ Never mind that you signed 300 other autographs before. But that’s the nature of the beast.”Despite whatever Newton shared with Manziel, the Texas A&M star has struggled to stay out of the news since leading Texas A&M to an 11-2 record and an upset win over No. 1 Alabama en route to becoming the first freshman to win the Heisman.The latest potential problem involves an ESPN report that the NCAA is investigating whether Manziel was paid for signing hundreds of autographs last January.Newton said he hopes “that everything works out in the best for him so he can get back to what he likes to do and that’s playing football.”
PHI88PHI89CHI 3, PHI 24-1.2– 1994Dallas17051731+26✓ OUR PREDICTION (ELO)READERS’ PREDICTION 2015New England17221740+17✓ YEARTEAMWEEK 5 ELOWEEK 12 ELODIFFERENCEMADE PLAYOFFS CIN84CIN79CLE 16, CIN 30-4.3– 1990San Francisco17271710-16✓ 2007New England17231806+84✓ DET53MIN56MIN 30, DET 23+6.6– Check out our latest NFL predictions. 2004New England17041742+38✓ The past month and a half has been rough for KC fans to say the least, but all is not lost. The Chiefs still have a 79 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions, partly because the AFC West doesn’t have another team that’s above .500, and partly because just one of their remaining five opponents has an Elo rating that’s above average: the suddenly hot L.A. Chargers.But Chiefs fans have become all too familiar with Smith’s explosive starts and dismal finishes — Smith led KC to a 9-0 start in 2013, before ending the regular season 2-5 and losing the AFC Wild Card game to the Colts. The team’s fate could rest on whether Andy Reid decides to yank Smith as the starting QB in favor of rookie Patrick Mahomes II, who the team selected with the 10th pick in the 2017 draft. In his junior year at Texas Tech, Mahomes led all FBS schools in passing yards and tacked on a 4.1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. While the first-year gunslinger would be thrust into a high-pressure environment if he takes over for Smith, Mahomes might be the spark that the Chiefs so desperately need.FiveThirtyEight vs. the readersWeek 12 in our NFL predictions game — in which we invite you to outsmart our Elo algorithm — saw the readers beat Elo by an overall 5.5 points, just their second victorious week of the year. Their biggest individual victory came in the Chargers’ 28-6 drubbing of the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day — readers picked up 12.4 points on that game. L.A. sits at 5-6 after two straight wins, and our model now gives the team its highest chance to date of making the playoffs — though, granted, that chance is just 26 percent. The readers had more confidence in the surging Vikings than our Elo system did, and readers were rewarded with 6.6 points after Minnesota took care of Detroit 30-23.The biggest loss for the readers came when they put too much faith in Jacksonville (we’ve warned you before); the Jaguars fell to the Cardinals 24-27, which resulted in a 12.9 point loss for the readers. And they didn’t put enough faith in the Bengals, as Cincinnati thwarted Cleveland 30-16, yielding a 4.3 point loss for the readers.Make sure you get your Week 13 predictions in early, and thanks for playing. NE90NE90MIA 17, NE 35-1.1– WSH68WSH71NYG 10, WSH 20+0.0 1986Chicago17501706-44✓ NO55NO53NO 20, LAR 26-0.1– PIT78PIT84GB 28, PIT 31+0.6– No prizes will be awarded for working out where KC’s problems lie. While the team’s defense has actually improved as the season has progressed — the team allowed 22.2 points per game during the 5-0 start compared with 20.8 since — the Chiefs’ offense has been woeful. Former MVP favorite Smith has received the brunt of the criticism, and rightly so: During the 5-0 start, Smith had the best passer rating in the league, but he had just the the 17th-best rating in his next six games. As for Hunt, the running back who was the favorite for offensive Rookie of the Year just a few weeks ago, his yards per carry plummeted from 6.3 in his first five games to 3.2 in his next six. As a group, the Chiefs have made another piece of forgettable history: The team’s decline on offense since Week 5 is tied for fifth-worst in the NFL since 2001. 2011Green Bay17241772+48✓ 5Kansas City201752.833.3-19.5 3Denver201357.436.1-21.3 CAR57CAR67CAR 35, NYJ 27+5.4– 4Denver200850.930.2-20.7 2007Indianapolis17111736+25✓ TEN52TEN61TEN 20, IND 16+5.7– 5N.Y. Giants201441.121.6-19.5 1941Chicago17141766+52✓ 1973Miami17071771+64✓ OAK64OAK63DEN 14, OAK 21-2.7– 2017Kansas City17011584-116? 2Indianapolis200758.036.4-21.6 RANKTEAMSEASONFIRST 5 GAMESNEXT 6 GAMESDIFFERENCE PICKWIN PROB.PICKWIN PROB.RESULTREADERS’ NET PTS 1942Chicago17481775+27✓ SEA78SEA79SEA 24, SF 13-1.7– KC78KC74BUF 16, KC 10+3.5– Source: PRO-FOOTBALL-REFERENCE Source: ESPN Stats & Information Group DAL68%DAL56%LAC 28, DAL 6+12.4– Elo’s dumbest (and smartest) picks of Week 12Average difference between points won by readers and by Elo in Week 12 matchups in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL prediction game The worst midseason dips on offensePercentage of offensive drives that resulted in a score, since 2001 Great teams don’t have meltdownsDifference in Elo after Week 5 and after Week 12 among teams that had an Elo rating of at least 1700 after Week 5 1Chicago200650.0%28.0%-22.0 JAX55JAX64JAX 24, ARI 27-12.9– The scoring system is nonlinear, so readers’ average points don’t necessarily match the number of points that would be given to the average reader prediction. Through Week 5 of this NFL season, there was no team better than Kansas City. The Chiefs were 5-0 with a league-best offense in almost every major category, and they’d chalked up statement wins over New England and Philadelphia, who are now the best teams in their respective conferences. Alex Smith was the best quarterback in the game and on course for one of the greatest QB seasons in NFL history. Rookie Kareem Hunt was breaking the league as the best running back in the game, averaging more than 120 rushing yards per game and more than six yards per carry. And as we detailed, the last time the Chiefs were that good, they won Super Bowl IV. Life in the Midwest was bliss.Few could have predicted what has happened since, though. The Chiefs’ decline began in Week 6 with a 19-13 defeat at home against the Steelers; it took a further nosedive two weeks ago when they lost to the lowly New York Giants; and it reached a nadir in their Week 12 loss to Buffalo, the latest setback in what has become one of the most mystifying breakdowns in recent memory. The Chiefs have recorded just a single win (over the Broncos) in their past six games and now sport a 6-5 record, and they have undergone the league’s third-biggest drop in Elo ratings in that time — only the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers and quarterback-less Broncos have dropped further. Fans in KC will be wondering how far their team’s performance might fall, and for good reason: This kind of collapse is essentially unprecedented. Among teams that had an Elo rating of at least 17001Elo ratings measure the quality of teams. An Elo rating of roughly 1500 is considered average. after Week 5 of the season, Kansas City’s decline is the largest through Week 12 in NFL history. ATL78ATL78TB 20, ATL 34-1.9– 1998Denver17121773+61✓ BAL68BAL67HOU 16, BAL 23-2.8–
With Clemons on the court, the Fighting Camels score 1.12 points per possession, according to Hoop Lens — or at a rate that would be among the best in the country if maintained over an entire season. When he sits, the team scores 0.84 points per possession, or at a rate that would rank around 300th if maintained. Without Clemons, the team’s effective field goal percentage drops more than 10 percentage points, and the team’s turnover percentage spikes almost 7 percentage points. As a pick-and-roll ball handler, he has scored more points this season than everyone else on the team combined, according to data provided by Synergy Sports.This season, Clemons is scoring 30.1 points per game, tied for the second-highest mark by any player since 1992. Charles Jones in 1996-97 was the last player to average more than 30 points per game over a season, while Central Michigan’s Marcus Keene came close in 2016-17, hitting 29.97. Clemons has scored in double figures in 111 consecutive games.2He scored 9 points against Gardner-Webb on Jan. 1, 2016 — the only time in his 126-game college career that he scored fewer than 10 points.He can also take the roof off an arena. Behind a 44-inch vertical3The combine record belongs to D.J. Stephens, who cleared 46 inches in 2013. and sculpted physique, Clemons has made a habit of dunking on defenders. Hard. Of Campbell’s 22 dunks this season, he has eight. “It’s like, ‘You’re 5-9!?’” McGeehan said, bewildered.4Last week, the university uploaded a YouTube video appropriately titled, “Campbell Men’s Basketball – Chris Clemons – Dunks.” Clemons is leaned on heavilyThe NCAA men’s basketball players with the highest share of their team’s possessions that season, since 2016-17 Chris Clemons is the shortest of the scoring greatsThe top 25 NCAA men’s basketball scorers and their height Hersey HawkinsBradley1984-883,0086’3″ Alphonso FordMississippi Valley State1989-933,1656’1″ Larry BirdIndiana State1976-792,8506’9″ Freeman WilliamsPortland State1974-783,2496’4″ 2018-19Ja MorantMurray St.So36.26’3″175 Lionel SimmonsLa Salle1986-903,2176’7″ 2018-19Chris ClemonsCampbellSr37.55’9″180 Chris ClemonsCampbell2015-193,1065’9″ Tyler HawsBYU2010-152,7206’5″ Mike DaumSouth Dakota St.2015-193,0066’9″ 2018-19Justin JamesWyomingSr36.06’7″190 Danny ManningKansas1984-882,9516’10” J.J. RedickDuke2002-062,7696’4″ Alfredrick HughesLoyola Chicago1981-852,9146’5″ 2017-18Roddy PetersNicholls St.Sr36.86’4″195 2016-17Chris ClemonsCampbellSo37.05’9″180 Otis BirdsongHouston1973-772,8326’3″ Pete MaravichLSU1967-703,6676’5″ Harry KellyTexas Southern1979-833,0666’7″ Oscar RobertsonCincinnati1957-602,9736’5″ 2016-17Ronnie BoyceSan FranciscoSr37.96’3″158 Tyler HansbroughNorth Carolina2005-092,8726’9″ 2018-19Jordan DavisNorthern ColoradoSr36.26’2″185 Byron LarkinXavier1984-882,6966’3″ Elvin HayesHouston1965-682,8846’9″ McGeehan hasn’t wasted a second of his point guard’s eligibility. Clemons has played at least 80 percent of team minutes each season on campus. As a senior, he’s taking on 93.1 percent.Over the past three seasons, Clemons has finished no lower than seventh nationally in KenPom’s percentage of possessions used metric, which measures how many possessions a player used while on court, assigning credit or blame to the player when his actions resulted in an ended possession. He leads the country this season, absorbing 37.5 percent of the team’s possessions. “Obviously,” McGeehan noted, “he’s heavily relied upon.” SeasonPlayerTeamYr.PossessionHeightWeight Hank GathersLoyola Marymount*1985-902,7236’7″ Daren QueenanLehigh1984-882,7036’5″ 2017-18D’Marcus SimondsGeorgia St.So35.86’3″200 2016-17Tiwian KendleyMorgan St.Jr35.16’5″190 No state has a glossier tradition in men’s college basketball than North Carolina. It has produced 13 national championships.1This is second only to California’s 15. The state has accounted for six national titles since 2000. No other state has more than three over that span. It is home to the sport’s fiercest rivalry: Duke vs. North Carolina. It has seen more than a hundred All-Americans and dozens of Hall of Famers cut their teeth on its courts, including Tim Duncan, Vince Carter and Michael Jordan.You might think that the state’s all-time leading scorer is one of those all-time greats. But he’s actually a current player. He’s not a Tar Heel or a Blue Devil or even a Demon Deacon. He’s a Fighting Camel in Buies Creek, North Carolina. Far from the spotlight, Chris Clemons, a senior at Campbell University in the Big South Conference, is making college-basketball history in a state that’s long on it.As a high schooler, Clemons was an all-state athlete in Raleigh, smack dab in the backyard of the ACC. When the power conferences overlooked him, Campbell didn’t. In fact, it sometimes brought the entire coaching staff to watch him hoop. “I told him when I was sitting in his living room that I thought he’d be the all-time leading scorer in Campbell history,” Campbell head coach Kevin McGeehan told me.Only five players in NCAA history have scored more than Clemons has. And his 3,106 points have not come easy: Clemons is 5-foot-9, at least 4 inches shorter than each of his teammates. But that disadvantage wasn’t a problem for McGeehan. “I’ve never thought twice about his height,” he said. 2017-18Tiwian KendleyMorgan St.Sr37.86’5″190 2017-18Milik YarbroughIllinois St.Jr35.56’6″230 Should his average hold, Clemons will finish the season with a 38.9 percent usage rate, which would give him three of the top 25 marks produced by players since 2009, the first year for which data is available.5Among players qualified for the points per game leaderboard. His career usage rate (35.9 percent) figures to edge former BYU star Jimmer Fredette for the top spot by any player over the past decade.There have actually been plenty of undersized, high-usage players on college courts. Clemons is just relied upon much more than any of the rest — and has been since he arrived on campus. Since 2008, there have been 450 seasons that saw a player shorter than 5-foot-10 appear in 20 games and play at least 40 percent of team minutes, according to BartTorvik.com. Of that sample, Clemons is in line to finish with the first, third, fourth and 23rd highest usage rates.Let’s remove the height restriction. Given those same qualifications, since 2008 there have been 522 seasons of a player producing a usage rate exceeding 30 percent. Of that pool, Clemons is on track to post two usage rates that rank in the top 15 and another one that ranks in the top 45. *Transferred from another schoolSource: Sports-Reference.com 2018-19Lamine DianeCal St. NorthridgeFr37.16’7″205 Doug McDermottCreighton2010-143,1506’8″ 2016-17Michael WeathersMiami (Ohio)Fr37.56’2″161 Allan HoustonTennessee1989-932,8016’6″ Reggie LewisNortheastern1983-872,7096’7″ 2017-18Trae YoungOklahomaFr38.5%6’2″180 lb. This season, only one player6UTSA’s Jhivvan Jackson. has taken a higher share of team shots than Clemons’s 39.3 percent.7 He hasn’t finished lower than fifth since his freshman campaign, when he ranked 22nd. This would be the fourth consecutive season that Clemons has finished in the top 25 in percentage of team shots taken, a feat of production that has never been matched since KenPom began tracking such metrics.8Since 2004.The Fighting Camels made their only NCAA Tournament appearance in 1992, five years before Clemons was born. This season, Clemons has Campbell roaring into shape to make a run at a second, provided the team wins its conference tournament.Which is to say: Clemons has the perennial green light to do everything. “I always had one,” Clemons said. “But I don’t remember it being like this.”Have coaches ever told him not to shoot? “I haven’t heard that lately,” he said.Is there anything McGeehan wouldn’t trust Clemons to do? “Probably give me a haircut.”Clemons’s numbers are more impressive when you consider the system under which he plays. Watching him, you get the sense that he could get to the rim or drain a jump shot around 10 seconds before he actually does. McGeehan runs a hybrid version of Pete Carril’s Princeton Offense that relies on quick ball movement and constant motion. It also typically suffocates tempo, as the Princeton Offense is ostensibly designed to limit huge production by either team. Campbell has ranked outside the top 190 in average offensive possession length each season since 2013. This season, it ranks 265th in adjusted tempo. Campbell averages 68.4 possessions per 40 minutes, which is tied for 238th nationally. North Carolina, for instance, averages nearly eight more possessions per game.Despite all of his success, Clemons may not ever reach the next level. To be sure, there have been other players under 5-foot-10 to reach the NBA: Muggsy Bogues, Earl Boykins, Calvin Murphy, Spud Webb. There have even been a few who have done it since the turn of the century: Isaiah Thomas, Kay Felder, Nate Robinson. Clemons, who has declared for the NBA draft after each of the past two seasons only to return to campus, is unlikely to join them via that route.The irony is heavy: One of the greatest scorers of all time, in arguably the state with the richest college basketball tradition, plays just a short drive down the road from perhaps the most-talked-about college athlete of all time, for a team that packed in fewer than 2,000 fans per home game last season. The smallest guy on the court is dealt the largest offensive burden and has most of the team’s dunks. The pint-sized player with the larger-than-life impact.“When it’s all said and done,” McGeehan said, “I’m probably going to go back and say, ‘Wow, did that really all just happen?’” 2016-17Marcus KeeneCentral MichiganJr37.05’9″175 2018-19Markus HowardMarquetteJr35.35’11”175 PlayerSchoolYearsPointsHeight 2017-18Ethan HappWisconsinJr35.66’10”235 2018-19Ethan HappWisconsinSr35.26’10”237 2017-18Chris ClemonsCampbellJr34.95’9″185 2016-17Jordan WashingtonIonaSr37.66’8″235 Source: KenPom Kevin BradshawU.S. International*1984-912,8046’6″ Keydren ClarkSt. Peter’s2002-063,0585’9″